Future Afghanistan Vision

Think Tank Center

A long-term research programme in scientific foresight: scenarios on youth, the economy, the environment and connectivity

A research programme, not a political plan

Future Afghanistan Vision (named in Article XII of the Charter; earlier presented as the “Future Afghanistan Policy Framework”) is a long-term research programme of the Think Tank Center. It uses scientific foresight to build scenarios on youth, the economy, the environment and regional connectivity, and turns the Center’s evidence into practical options for young people, communities and partners. It is not a political plan. The Center conducts non-partisan academic research and strategic foresight. It does not campaign, endorse or oppose any political actor. No paper has been published yet.

Research themes

1. Youth livelihoods and skills

Jobs, skills, small business and digital work for young people.

2. Education pathways

From school to university: scholarships, study abroad and recognition of documents.

3. Diaspora and host communities

Young Afghans abroad, their skills, and their ties with host cities and with home.

4. Health, wellbeing and community resilience

Physical and mental health, wellbeing, and how communities support each other.

5. Climate, water and local livelihoods

Water, a changing climate and the local livelihoods that depend on them.

6. Governance, institutions and strategic foresight (academic, non-partisan)

Comparative studies of public institutions and service delivery, governance and public-policy research methods, and scenario-based foresight.

Cross-cutting

Youth-voice data and gender in every theme: what young women and young men say, reported side by side.

Planned papers

These titles are on the Center’s agenda. None has been published yet; each will appear here with its full text once it has passed review.

Youth scenarios to 2040

Planned, not yet published

Scenarios on demography, education and work for young Afghans inside the country and abroad.

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Economy and livelihoods scenarios

Planned, not yet published

Long-term scenarios on skills, jobs, small business and regional trade.

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Environment and water futures

Planned, not yet published

Scenarios on water, climate and local livelihoods.

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Regional connectivity

Planned, not yet published

Scenarios on transport, energy and trade links in the region and what they could mean for young people.

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How the programme works

Evidence first

Each paper starts from published data, a Data Note or an Evidence Review.

Scenarios, not predictions

Several plausible futures are compared; none is presented as a plan or a forecast.

Listening to young people

Survey results and online youth workshops. Sessions with participants inside Afghanistan are not recorded.

One review standard

Each output is reviewed by two reviewers who are not its authors, at least one of them external.

Access our research

Our publications will be free to read, and aggregate tables are free to use under CC BY 4.0. Organisations can request access or custom analyses through the policy research access page. How we work: Research Standards.